Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 1867.096784 2039.900133 2216.727933 2410.928367 2617.935452 2831.716151 3068.899409
2024-10-20 1583.777756 1836.517016 2106.653743 2415.774414 2758.595902 3126.032086 3548.491841
2024-10-27 1347.738990 1637.434912 1957.681888 2335.716495 2767.447749 3242.821138 3803.445214
2024-11-03 1260.397398 1588.881706 1961.718183 2412.495195 2938.873175 3530.240977 4240.830873
2024-11-10 1174.609640 1531.055696 1945.332329 2456.943198 3066.076198 3762.410038 4612.606121
2024-11-17 1078.590911 1451.723118 1895.292046 2454.102113 3131.545564 3918.432820 4893.269364
2024-11-24 983.243129 1365.334550 1829.559951 2425.612311 3160.604851 4027.160121 5115.244476
2024-12-01 924.820242 1320.469032 1810.537040 2450.332694 3250.991922 4207.138681 5421.579927
2024-12-08 861.667271 1264.856338 1773.883900 2449.337414 3306.788466 4343.437430 5674.628230
2024-12-15 825.788649 1242.287146 1777.018644 2496.713757 3421.675522 4551.806339 6016.642340
2024-12-22 766.858832 1184.956127 1731.609694 2478.654094 3451.487005 4653.459996 6226.785501
2024-12-29 742.158410 1172.645149 1744.046304 2534.733292 3575.485574 4873.037653 6584.924991
2025-01-05 699.367595 1133.496982 1719.667792 2542.272805 3638.054746 5017.961036 6854.413462
2025-01-12 658.812629 1095.232749 1694.578102 2547.377271 3696.705352 5158.157954 7119.526457
2025-01-19 591.831935 1014.546696 1607.010679 2463.978351 3634.904898 5140.828805 7181.708594
2025-01-26 582.894054 1019.146150 1638.592962 2543.962252 3791.760169 5407.981425 7611.679015
2025-02-02 564.114953 1007.642302 1646.319821 2590.254782 3903.226642 5616.701084 7968.014306
2025-02-09 531.945578 973.683164 1620.001620 2587.296032 3946.685247 5735.651712 8208.052670
2025-02-16 494.480072 929.233353 1576.271770 2557.624534 3951.809655 5802.726328 8379.748351
2025-02-23 474.765321 911.894839 1571.692840 2583.370452 4033.375676 5972.107388 8687.541129
2025-03-02 449.272030 883.693485 1549.467892 2582.333929 4076.715058 6089.894149 8927.446735
2025-03-09 438.095433 878.475705 1561.719664 2631.669110 4191.349382 6305.079180 9299.230535
2025-03-16 410.963017 844.894364 1528.863696 2612.863787 4208.155276 6386.544676 9491.726714